7
Rocking In Rio
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 2 · OR 41
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 68 Handicap · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Fairview | Charles Ndlovu | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | R Fourie | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | C Maujean | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | Kendall Minnie | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | Ryan Munger | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/10/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |