2
Winter In London
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 4 · OR 67
Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 68 Handicap · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength90%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | M Yeni | 4 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | Mickaelle Michel | 5 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | Mickaelle Michel | 4 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | Mickaelle Michel | 4 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Greyville | M Yeni | 4 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 53% | -0.23 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 15/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/03/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 57% | -0.37 |