12

Free World

6yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 3 · OR 38

Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 6 November Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y

#12

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. One win from 27 Flat runs. Twenty two runs since last win in 2024. Seventh of 10 in handicap at Fairview (7f, 20/1) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 06/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f102y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS6/01C7C7 @ Fairview 30/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS3/04C7C7 @ Fairview 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1288/06C7C7 @ Fairview 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASS7/08C7C7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS25/09C7projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25FairviewMalesela Katjedi?7th7th+0
2026-09-11FairviewKyle Strydom?7th7th+0
2026-08-07FairviewKyle Strydom?5th5th+0
2026-07-03FairviewMalesela Katjedi?4th4th+0
2026-06-08FairviewCraig Zackey?3rd3rd−0
2026-05-15FairviewNirvan Nastili?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0115/057/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength15%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/01/20265th8/158%64%+0.06
30/01/20266th5/174%44%-0.29
03/04/20269th15/261%38%-0.22
15/05/20263rd12/137%80%+0.43
08/06/20263rd7/163%83%+0.20
03/07/20264th18/15%67%+0.61
07/08/20265th15/261%50%-0.11
11/09/20267th8/158%45%-0.12
25/09/20267th14/126%33%+0.07