3

Jewel Mule

3yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 1 · OR 64

Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 6 November Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

1 win from 3 runs this year. First run since leaving J. S. Snaith when 33/20 and tongue strap on for 1st time, won 10-runner maiden at Fairview (7f) 84 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Limited appeal.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 13216/05C8C8 @ Kenilworth 16/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12616/06C8C8 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1267/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07FairviewAndrew Fortune?1st2nd−1
2026-06-16KenilworthJ V'd Merwe?5th6th−1
2026-05-16KenilworthR Fourie?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0516/067/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 21/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
16/06/20265th10/382%50%-0.32
07/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09