7
Lovely Dancer
4yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 13 · OR 40
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 6 November Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | C Maujean | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | Wayne Agrella | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | Yuzae Ramzan | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | Yuzae Ramzan | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |