IvyArcIvyArc
5

Midnight Music

5yo Mare · 9-5 · Draw 8 · OR 54

Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 6 November Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Creditable third of 13 in handicap (25/2) at Fairview (6f) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 23/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS23/01C7C7 @ Fairview 10/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 01/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1341/05C7C7 @ Fairview 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS24/06C7C7 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS7/08C7C7 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 09/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS9/10C7projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09FairviewWayne Agrella?3rd3rd+0
2026-08-26FairviewWayne Agrella?3rd3rd+0
2026-08-07FairviewWayne Agrella?2nd2nd+0
2026-07-17FairviewWayne Agrella?9th9th+0
2026-06-24FairviewWayne Agrella?4th4th+0
2026-05-15FairviewMalesela Katjedi?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0115/057/089/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20264th28/10%63%+0.63
10/03/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
01/05/20269th14/126%20%-0.06
15/05/20266th10/147%50%+0.03
24/06/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
17/07/20269th8/158%38%-0.19
07/08/20262nd7/282%89%+0.07
26/08/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
09/10/20263rd10/147%83%+0.36