1
Red Birch
3yo Filly · 9-10 · Draw 12 · OR 71
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 6 November Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 85/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |