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13

Timeline

5yo Mare · 8-6 · Draw 11 · OR 28

Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 6 November Fm 66 Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y

#13

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

One win from 41 Flat runs. 50/1, fourth of 6 in minor event at Fairview (6f) 7 days ago. Uphill task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength81%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS31/07C7C7 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f102y Std 115 · HIGHER CLASS21/08C7C7 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS28/08C7C5 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 110 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 118 · HIGHER CLASS11/09C7C5 @ Fairview 09/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 110 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 23/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Std 110 · HIGHER CLASS23/10C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-23FairviewBlaine Marx-jacobson?4th1st+3
2026-10-09FairviewBongani Makhubo?7th4th+3
2026-09-11FairviewGirish Dookhit?12th12th+0
2026-09-09FairviewGirish Dookhit?7th4th+3
2026-08-28FairviewGirish Dookhit?4th4th+0
2026-08-26FairviewBongani Makhubo?6th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0726/0811/0923/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20269th66/10%27%+0.27
07/08/202610th33/10%0%0.00
21/08/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
26/08/20266th50/10%44%+0.44
28/08/20264th80/10%57%+0.57
09/09/20267th66/10%25%+0.25
11/09/202612th66/10%0%0.00
09/10/20267th150/10%0%0.00
23/10/20264th100/10%40%+0.40