9

A M C Rose

5yo Mare · 9-6 · Draw 9 · OR 37

Greyville · Lucky Fish New Fortune Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y

#11

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Blinkered for 1st time, last of 11 in maiden at Greyville (6f, AW, 125/1). Off 130 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Std 1328/04C8C8 @ Greyville 17/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13217/04C8C8 @ Greyville 09/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1329/05C8C8 @ Greyville 22/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13222/06C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22GreyvilleDivesh Ramkhalawon?11th11th0
2026-05-09GreyvilleJ V'd Merwe?9th9th0
2026-04-17GreyvilleMxolisi Mbuto?6th6th0
2026-04-08GreyvilleMxolisi Mbuto?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0417/049/0522/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20265th28/10%20%+0.20
17/04/20266th28/10%17%+0.17
09/05/20269th66/10%0%0.00
22/06/202611th80/10%0%0.00