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8

California Dreamer

4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 8 · OR 48

Greyville · Lucky Fish New Fortune Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

33/1, seventh of 16 in maiden at Scottsville (6f, good) 61 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 24/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13224/04C8C8 @ Scottsville 17/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13217/05C8C8 @ Scottsville 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13222/07C8C8 @ Greyville 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13218/08C8C8 @ Scottsville 30/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13230/08C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30ScottsvilleKaidan Brewer?7th7th0
2026-08-18GreyvilleDezahn Louw?4th4th0
2026-07-22ScottsvilleDezahn Louw?4th4th0
2026-05-17ScottsvilleJ V'd Merwe?9th9th0
2026-04-24GreyvilleCraig Zackey?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0417/0522/0718/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20265th11/142%33%-0.09
17/05/20269th28/10%47%+0.47
22/07/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
18/08/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
30/08/20267th22/10%60%+0.60