7

Chericherilady
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 7 · OR 51
Greyville · Lucky Fish New Fortune Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Greyville | Siphesihle Hlengwa | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Turffontein | Callan Murray | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vaal | Bavish Soodoo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Scottsville | Dezahn Louw | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Greyville | Serino Moodley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Vaal | M Yeni | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 87/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 17/05/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 03/06/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 19/06/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 20/08/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 11/10/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |