7

Chericherilady

4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 7 · OR 51

Greyville · Lucky Fish New Fortune Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

85%

Place Prob

60%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 9 Flat runs. First run since leaving B. Webber when third of 11 in maiden at this C&D (good, 33/1) 19 days ago. Every chance if back to best.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 01/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1321/05C8C8 @ Turffontein 17/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 132C8 @ Turffontein 03/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 1323/06C8C9 @ Vaal 19/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123C8 @ Greyville 06/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1216/08C8C8 @ Scottsville 20/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 128C8 @ Vaal 02/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1322/04C8C8 @ Turffontein 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f169y GS 132C8 @ Greyville 11/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13211/10C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11GreyvilleSiphesihle Hlengwa?3rd3rd0
2026-04-28TurffonteinCallan Murray?5th5th0
2026-04-02VaalBavish Soodoo?3rd3rd0
2025-08-20ScottsvilleDezahn Louw?9th9th0
2025-08-06GreyvilleSerino Moodley?7th7th0
2025-06-19VaalM Yeni?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0519/062/0411/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 87/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20257th15/261%25%-0.36
17/05/20254th7/163%67%+0.04
03/06/20255th2/189%50%-0.39
19/06/20255th7/163%50%-0.13
06/08/20257th3/184%25%-0.59
20/08/20259th15/261%0%-0.61
02/04/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
28/04/20265th18/15%43%+0.38
11/10/20263rd25/10%80%+0.80