4
Queen's Bounty
3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 4 · OR 58
Greyville · Lucky Fish New Fortune Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Greyville | Nicholas Patel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Greyville | Mathew Thackeray | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | Nicholas Patel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | Calvin Habib | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Greyville | Dezahn Louw | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Greyville | Mickaelle Michel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 22/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 30/08/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/10/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |