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12

Queraristinyferari

3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 12 · OR 56

Greyville · Lucky Fish New Fortune Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 9 Flat runs. Fourth of 10 in maiden (10/1) at Greyville (5f, AW) 7 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 11/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y GS 12711/01C8C8 @ Scottsville 18/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 5f103y GS 132C8 @ Scottsville 15/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13215/03C8C8 @ Greyville 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 132C8 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 12626/04C8C8 @ Greyville 20/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 132C8 @ Greyville 13/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13213/06C8C8 @ Greyville 11/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 130C8 @ Greyville 23/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Std 12523/10C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-23GreyvilleSerino Moodley?4th4th0
2026-10-11GreyvilleKabelo Matsunyane?4th4th0
2026-06-13GreyvilleCraig Zackey?10th10th0
2026-05-20GreyvilleAndrew Fortune?8th8th0
2026-04-26ScottsvilleCraig Zackey?2nd2nd0
2026-03-27GreyvilleCraig Zackey?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0127/0313/0623/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength12%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20265th8/158%56%-0.02
18/02/20264th5/287%80%-0.07
15/03/20264th6/168%80%+0.12
27/03/20263rd7/282%80%-0.02
26/04/20262nd11/1094%86%-0.09
20/05/20268th11/893%36%-0.56
13/06/202610th11/271%0%-0.71
11/10/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
23/10/20264th15/261%67%+0.06