5

Sparrow Hawk

3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 5 · OR 48

Greyville · Lucky Fish New Fortune Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y

#8

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

25/2, last of 8 in maiden at Scottsville (5f, good). Off 100 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12622/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22ScottsvilleRachel Venniker?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20268th10/147%0%-0.47