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4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 1 · OR 38
Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Greyville | Mathew Thackeray | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | Mathew Thackeray | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 11-13 · tight 82/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 31/10/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 10% | -0.45 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 19/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 16/10/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |