6
Magical Spring
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 59
Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | Callan Murray | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | Serino Moodley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | Rachel Venniker | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | Cole Dicken | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | A Mgudlwa | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | A Mgudlwa | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |