4
Sherpa Queen
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 4 · OR 42
Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y
#11
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Greyville | Dezahn Louw | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Scottsville | Dezahn Louw | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | Divesh Ramkhalawon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +19.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/10/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |