8

Sweet Smelling

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 8 · OR 37

Greyville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eighth of 14 in maiden (16/1) at Scottsville (6f, soft) 39 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 21/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12821/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21ScottsvilleDamyan Pillay?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20268th12/137%46%+0.09