12
After The Fire
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 12 · OR 66
Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Greyville | Cole Dicken | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | Cole Dicken | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | Chad Little | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | Anaas Mosaheb | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Greyville | Dezahn Louw | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Scottsville | Chad Little | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 09/10/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |