14
Augrabies
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 14 · OR 35
Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y
#14
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Greyville | Vishek Ramdhonee | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Greyville | Siphesihle Hlengwa | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | Athinesh Boolkah | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | Siphesihle Hlengwa | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | K De Melo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | Anaas Mosaheb | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 5-15 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength25%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/10/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |