7

Chaos Queen
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 32
Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Greyville | Divesh Ramkhalawon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Greyville | S Veale | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | Divesh Ramkhalawon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | Divesh Ramkhalawon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | Damyan Pillay | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | Mickaelle Michel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 6-15 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 24/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 09/10/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |