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10

Etzebeth

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 10 · OR 36

Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 9 Flat runs. Seventh of 9 in maiden at Greyville (8f, AW, 14/1) 21 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 11/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13311/01C8C8 @ Scottsville 08/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 133C8 @ Greyville 27/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m209y Std 13327/02C8C8 @ Greyville 29/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f98y GS 132C8 @ Greyville 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y GS 13211/04C8C8 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 132C8 @ Scottsville 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13223/05C8C8 @ Greyville 24/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 133C8 @ Greyville 09/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1329/10C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09GreyvilleDivesh Ramkhalawon?7th7th0
2026-09-24GreyvilleTristan Godden?3rd3rd0
2026-05-23ScottsvilleDezahn Louw?6th6th0
2026-04-26ScottsvilleDezahn Louw?2nd2nd0
2026-04-11GreyvilleR Fourie?6th6th0
2026-03-29GreyvilleM Yeni?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0129/0323/059/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 13-15 · tight 84/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82
08/02/20263rd6/492%71%-0.21
27/02/20265th4/596%33%-0.62
29/03/20265th3/184%43%-0.41
11/04/20266th15/261%50%-0.11
26/04/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
23/05/20266th6/168%38%-0.31
24/09/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
09/10/20267th17/255%25%-0.30