4

Green Rose

4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 4 · OR 45

Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y

#12

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ninth of 14 in maiden (125/1) at this course (8f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Up in trip. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 30/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13230/08C8C8 @ Greyville 02/10/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y GS 1322/10C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02GreyvilleJeffrey Syster?9th9th0
2026-08-30ScottsvilleSiphesihle Hlengwa?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +31.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/202615th80/10%7%+0.07
02/10/20269th80/10%38%+0.38