IvyArcIvyArc
15

Profumo

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 15 · OR 22

Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y

#15

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tenth of 12 in maiden (66/1) at Greyville (9.9f, AW) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1323/04C8C8 @ Fairview 15/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13215/05C8C8 @ Greyville 25/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12825/09C8C8 @ Greyville 09/10/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 1169/10C8projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09GreyvilleAnaas Mosaheb?10th10th0
2026-09-25GreyvilleAnaas Mosaheb?10th10th0
2026-05-15FairviewBavish Soodoo?10th10th0
2026-04-03FairviewM Yeni?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0415/0525/099/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 6-15 · tight 52/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength24%

Delivery trend +11.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20264th11/142%40%-0.02
15/05/202610th11/142%0%-0.42
25/09/202610th20/10%10%+0.10
09/10/202610th33/10%18%+0.18