13
Thomas Burchell
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 13 · OR 57
Greyville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Maiden Plate · 1m 1f 208y
#11
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | Mathew Thackeray | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 20/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/09/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/10/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |