1
Izibulo
5yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 76
Greyville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Today! Middle Stakes (F & M) · 7f 210y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength60%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Greyville | K De Melo | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | G Lerena | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | G Lerena | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | S Veale | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | S Veale | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | Callan Murray | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/02/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 13% | -0.74 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 24/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |