One Dance
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 76
Greyville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Today! Middle Stakes (F & M) · 7f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | G Lerena | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | Rachel Venniker | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | Bavish Soodoo | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | Bavish Soodoo | ? | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fairview | M Yeni | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-02-13 | Fairview | M Yeni | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |