5
Periwinkle
3yo Filly · 8-0 · Draw 5 · OR 54
Greyville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Today! Middle Stakes (F & M) · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Greyville | Dezahn Louw | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | Callan Murray | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | Callan Murray | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-8 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -13.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/10/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |