
Amc Roy's Fantasy
3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 81
Greyville · Lucky Fish Turf Luck Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | Andrew Fortune | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Greyville | Andrew Fortune | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-03 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 53% | -0.12 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/10/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |