9

Amc Roy's Fantasy

3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 81

Greyville · Lucky Fish Turf Luck Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Greyville (8f, AW, 8/1) 21 days ago by neck from Vixens War. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 08/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1328/02C8C8 @ Scottsville 18/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 5f103y GS 132C8 @ Greyville 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 12722/03C8C8 @ Greyville 03/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 126C8 @ Greyville 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1322/05C8C0 @ Greyville 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f212y Std 127C0 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/07C?C0 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Greyville 09/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1239/104projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09GreyvilleTristan Godden41st1st0
2026-07-26GreyvilleTristan Godden?7th3rd+4
2026-07-04GreyvilleTristan Godden?7th3rd+4
2026-06-20GreyvilleAndrew Fortune?3rd3rd0
2026-05-02GreyvilleAndrew Fortune?1st6th−4
2026-04-03GreyvilleTristan Godden?5th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/023/044/079/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
18/02/20268th13/266%53%-0.12
22/03/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
03/04/20265th14/126%33%+0.07
02/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
20/06/20263rd11/142%50%+0.08
04/07/20267th66/10%54%+0.54
26/07/20267th80/10%33%+0.33
09/10/20261st15/261%100%+0.39