3
Hurricane Flight
6yo Mare · 8-4 · Draw 3 · OR 56
Greyville · Lucky Fish Turf Luck Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Greyville | Anaas Mosaheb | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | Anaas Mosaheb | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | Sifisokuhle Bungane | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Greyville | Rachel Venniker | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | Nicholas Patel | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | Mickaelle Michel | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/09/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |