6
Pretty Kara
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 59
Greyville · Lucky Fish Turf Luck Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Greyville | Chad Little | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | Kaidan Brewer | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | Kaidan Brewer | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Scottsville | Mickaelle Michel | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | Calvin Habib | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | Calvin Habib | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |