11
Say A Wish
4yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 11 · OR 55
Greyville · Lucky Fish Turf Luck Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Greyville | S Veale | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | Wilmien Fourie | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-02-01 | Turffontein | L Nhlapo | ? | 10th | 13th | −2 |
| 2025-12-18 | Vaal | Phenisile Mongqawa | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-09-06 | Turffontein | M Yeni | ? | 8th | 13th | −4 |
| 2025-03-27 | Turffontein | Andrew Fortune | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +12.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 06/09/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/02/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |