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10

Stampede Ahead

4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 50

Greyville · Lucky Fish Turf Luck Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

7/2, fifth of 8 in handicap at Scottsville (9.9f, good to soft) 89 days ago. Back down in trip. Has work to do.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 25/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12825/11C8C8 @ Greyville 05/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 123C8 @ Scottsville 11/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13211/01C8C8 @ Greyville 28/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 129C8 @ Greyville 06/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Std 1306/02C8C8 @ Scottsville 11/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 125C0 @ Turffontein 04/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f40y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/04C?C1 @ Greyville 02/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Scottsville 02/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 1232/084projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02ScottsvilleK De Melo45th5th0
2026-05-02GreyvilleJ V'd Merwe?10th6th+3
2026-04-04TurffonteinTristan Godden?7th3rd+4
2026-03-11ScottsvilleK De Melo?1st6th−4
2026-02-06GreyvilleSerino Moodley?8th13th−4
2026-01-28GreyvilleSerino Moodley?5th10th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1128/014/042/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 61/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength11%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/11/20257th11/1094%33%-0.61
05/12/20258th9/276%30%-0.46
11/01/20266th10/147%64%+0.17
28/01/20265th5/287%56%-0.31
06/02/20268th9/276%13%-0.64
11/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
04/04/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
02/05/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
02/08/20265th3/184%43%-0.41