2
Sweeter Than Honey
7yo Mare · 8-3 · Draw 2 · OR 40
Greyville · Lucky Fish Turf Luck Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y
#11
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | Rachel Venniker | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | Rachel Venniker | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | Rachel Venniker | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Greyville | Mickaelle Michel | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Scottsville | M Yeni | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Greyville | Rachel Venniker | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 05/12/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |
| 31/12/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |