12

Vroom Vroom

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 12 · OR 69

Greyville · Lucky Fish Turf Luck Class 4 (F & M) · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Creditable third of 8 in handicap (4/1) at this course (7f, good to soft) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1328/11C8C8 @ Kenilworth 10/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 132C5 @ Kenilworth 10/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 11610/01C54 @ Kenilworth 04/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1225 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1393/0554 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y GS 1214 @ Kenilworth 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f101y GS 12321/0644 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 1264 @ Greyville 25/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12125/094projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25GreyvilleS Veale43rd3rd0
2026-07-18DurbanvilleTristan Godden48th8th0
2026-06-21KenilworthCraig Zackey45th5th0
2026-05-31KenilworthCraig Zackey43rd3rd0
2026-05-03KenilworthVarun Jodhee59th10th−1
2026-02-04KenilworthR Fourie410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/114/0221/0625/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 47/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength60%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20252nd10/382%91%+0.08
10/12/20251st4/998%100%+0.02
10/01/20268th5/174%42%-0.32
04/02/202610th9/276%0%-0.76
03/05/20269th14/126%38%+0.12
31/05/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04
21/06/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
18/07/20268th9/276%36%-0.40
25/09/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10