9
Deonarie
3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 9 · OR 79
Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Mr 89 Open Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Greyville | K De Melo | ? | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | Calvin Habib | ? | 4th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | Siphesihle Hlengwa | ? | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | Siphesihle Hlengwa | ? | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | Siphesihle Hlengwa | ? | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | Siphesihle Hlengwa | ? | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 65/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -15.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 90% | -0.05 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 09/10/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |