3
Mirum
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 55
Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Mr 89 Open Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vaal | Kabelo Matsunyane | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-09-10 | Vaal | Craig Zackey | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | Kabelo Matsunyane | ? | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vaal | Jacey Botes | ? | 6th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-08 | Turffontein | Jacey Botes | ? | 6th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |