6

National Insignia

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6 · OR 74

Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Mr 89 Open Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

1 win from 2 runs this year. 40/1, won 10-runner maiden at this course (6f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Makes handicap debut. More required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 13/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12813/09C8C8 @ Greyville 02/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1322/10C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02GreyvilleTristan Godden?1st4th−2
2026-09-13ScottsvilleMathew Thackeray?12th15th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/092/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +78.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/202612th40/10%21%+0.21
02/10/20261st25/10%100%+1.00