4

Prized Possession

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 4 · OR 77

Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Mr 89 Open Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

44%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Scottsville in July. 28/10, respectable fourth of 8 in handicap at this course (7f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Booking of De Melo a plus. Worthy of respect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 13222/03C8C8 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13228/06C8C8 @ Scottsville 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13222/07C8C5 @ Greyville 02/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS2/10C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02GreyvilleS Veale?4th4th+0
2026-07-22ScottsvilleG Lerena?1st4th−2
2026-06-28ScottsvilleS Veale?2nd5th−2
2026-03-22GreyvilleS Veale?3rd6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0328/0622/072/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 54/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength70%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
28/06/20262nd11/486%93%+0.08
22/07/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
02/10/20264th5/287%57%-0.30