1
Reign Man
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 1 · OR 81
Greyville · In The Box Seat Podcast Brought To You By Gallop TV Mr 89 Open Handicap (3 Year Olds) · 7f 210y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | Rachel Venniker | ? | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | K De Melo | ? | 4th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -22.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |