Future Variety
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 7 · OR 96
Greyville · Tote For The Win A Stakes · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | G Lerena | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | J V'd Merwe | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | J V'd Merwe | 2 | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Greyville | J V'd Merwe | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Turffontein | J V'd Merwe | ? | 11th | 6th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 28/02/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 15% | -0.11 |
| 04/04/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |