Lion Rampart
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 9 · OR 100
Greyville · Tote For The Win A Stakes · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vaal | G Lerena | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | Tristan Godden | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | G Lerena | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | G Lerena | ? | 15th | 12th | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Greyville | Callan Murray | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Kenilworth | Calvin Habib | ? | 13th | 10th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 02/11/2025 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 13/12/2025 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 23/05/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |