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6

Mohave Prince

4yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 6 · OR 87

Greyville · Tote For The Win A Stakes · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. 4 wins from 9 runs this year. Latest win here in June. Good second of 5 in minor event (2/1) at Greyville (9.9f, AW) 40 days ago. Significantly back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Greyville 02/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1212/01C?5 @ Scottsville 25/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m154y GS 135C0 @ Scottsville 08/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m154y GS 1218/02C?C5 @ Greyville 27/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Std 1323 @ Greyville 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f98y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS24/043C5 @ Scottsville 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 126C5 @ Greyville 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f210y GS 13013/06C5C4 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 20/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 13620/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20GreyvilleTristan Godden?2nd2nd0
2026-07-04GreyvilleAndrew Fortune?6th5th+1
2026-06-13GreyvilleRachel Venniker?1st1st0
2026-05-23ScottsvilleAndrew Fortune?1st1st0
2026-04-24GreyvilleRachel Venniker32nd0th+2
2026-02-27GreyvilleRachel Venniker?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0127/0213/0620/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength59%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20266th9/153%29%-0.24
25/01/20265th4/179%69%-0.10
08/02/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
27/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
24/04/20262nd11/271%90%+0.19
23/05/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
13/06/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
04/07/20266th11/271%62%-0.10
20/09/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14