3

Vihaan's Web

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 96

Greyville · Tote For The Win A Stakes · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

2/1, respectable third of 7 in minor event at Scottsville (5f, good) 61 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Scottsville 29/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS29/063C5 @ Greyville 30/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Std 119C5 @ Greyville 28/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 14028/12C5C5 @ Scottsville 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y GS 139C5 @ Scottsville 25/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f103y GS 13125/01C53 @ Scottsville 01/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 136 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12611/04C52 @ Greyville 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 4f214y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Scottsville 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 14130/08C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30ScottsvilleCalvin Habib?3rd3rd0
2026-06-13GreyvilleNicholas Patel24th1st+3
2026-04-11GreyvilleK De Melo?4th4th0
2026-03-01ScottsvilleDamyan Pillay31st-1th+2
2026-01-25ScottsvilleS Khumalo?3rd3rd0
2026-01-11ScottsvilleS Khumalo?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0611/0111/0430/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 57/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20252nd5/287%89%+0.02
30/11/20255th9/488%20%-0.68
28/12/20256th11/142%38%-0.05
11/01/20264th11/486%63%-0.23
25/01/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21
01/03/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
11/04/20264th6/168%63%-0.06
13/06/20264th10/147%77%+0.30
30/08/20263rd2/189%67%-0.23