5

William Robertson
8yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 5 · OR 78
Greyville · Tote For The Win A Stakes · 5f 212y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength78%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | Chad Little | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | Chad Little | ? | 14th | 11th | +3 |
| 2026-04-28 | Turffontein | Trent Mayhew | ? | 10th | 5th | +4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Turffontein | Ryan Munger | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turffontein | Ryan Munger | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turffontein | Ryan Munger | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 70% | -0.17 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.09 |
| 28/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 23/05/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |