7

Cardinal Chief

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 81

Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za B Stakes · 5f 212y

#11

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Sixth of 8 in minor event (16/1) at this course (7f, good) 19 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Scottsville 15/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS15/024C5 @ Scottsville 01/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f211y GS 119C5 @ Greyville 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 11929/03C54 @ Scottsville 29/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 131 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12610/06C?3 @ Greyville 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 117 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Scottsville 09/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1289/08C?4 @ Greyville 20/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 11/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12911/10C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11GreyvilleChad Little?6th6th0
2026-09-20GreyvilleDezahn Louw44th3rd+1
2026-08-09ScottsvilleQiniso Ngcobo?4th4th0
2026-07-12GreyvilleSerino Moodley35th3rd+2
2026-06-10GreyvilleCalvin Habib?3rd3rd0
2026-04-29ScottsvilleRachel Venniker48th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0229/049/0811/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 37/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/20269th10/382%33%-0.49
01/03/20265th11/142%20%-0.22
29/03/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
29/04/20268th7/282%30%-0.52
10/06/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45
12/07/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
09/08/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
20/09/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
11/10/20266th16/116%29%+0.13