11
Diani
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 11 · OR 85
Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za B Stakes · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | Calvin Habib | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Greyville | Chad Little | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | Chad Little | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | J V'd Merwe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Greyville | Chad Little | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | Chad Little | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 11-12 · tight 87/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |