8
Kalahari Roller
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 71
Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za B Stakes · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Greyville | Dezahn Louw | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Scottsville | Shalton Elrico Sesingi | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Greyville | Qiniso Ngcobo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | Qiniso Ngcobo | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | Siphesihle Hlengwa | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | Anaas Mosaheb | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 21/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 62% | -0.10 |
| 11/10/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |