10
Klein Karoo
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 85
Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za B Stakes · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Greyville | K De Melo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Greyville | K De Melo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | Craig Zackey | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | Andrew Fortune | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | Brevan Plaatjies | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Durbanville | Craig Zackey | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 58/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/04/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 25/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |