4
Queen Braganza
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 83
Greyville · Live It. Love It. Own It. www.racecoast.co.za B Stakes · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Scottsville | Bongani Makhubo | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Scottsville | Callan Murray | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Greyville | Callan Murray | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Greyville | Callan Murray | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Greyville | Callan Murray | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Greyville | Callan Murray | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 35/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/11/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |